Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Primera División action on Saturday 14 November sees FC Cajamarca travel to face Alianza Lima at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva – the whistle goes at 22:00 WAT. Going in, Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points and FC Cajamarca 14th with 14 – one in the upper half, the other in the lower half. There are 15 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Alianza Lima over their last 5: DWLWW Most recently they shared the points with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 on the road. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.0 per match.
FC Cajamarca over their last 5: WLLLL Most recently they got past Alianza Atletico 2–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
On points per game, Alianza Lima arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.7.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (31 May 2026): FC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Lima.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Alianza Lima 2.3 – 0.8 FC Cajamarca in expected goals, roughly 3.1 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Alianza Lima 71%, draw 18%, FC Cajamarca 11%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 55% at 2.25.
Verdict
Ade Ola's verdict: Both teams to score (55% chance, priced 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.82, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Alianza Lima 2–1 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
