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Primera División Kick-off Estadio 25 de Noviembre

UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau prediction

UCV MoqueguaDDLLW
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.80 – 0.66
Atletico GrauWLLDL
UCV Moquegua65%@1.74Draw22%@3.52Atletico Grau13%@4.40
74%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.35Odds 1.26
Rating8/10
Value

UCV Moquegua to win @ 1.74our chance 65% vs 57% in the price · edge +13%

Picks by market

ResultUCV Moquegua to win65% · @1.74
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw87% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%

UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

UCV Moquegua and Atletico Grau meet in the Primera División on Saturday 14 November, with Estadio 25 de Noviembre the venue – kick-off 22:00 WAT. In the table, UCV Moquegua have 12 points from 16 games (17th, in the bottom three) and Atletico Grau have 21 (11th, in the bottom half).

Recent form

UCV Moquegua, last 5 games: DDLLW Their latest: 2–2 away – they drew with Universitario. Home record in that spell: 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Only 0.5 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

Atletico Grau, last 5 games: WLLDL Their latest: 3–0 at home – they beat Cusco. Goals: 1.0 for and 1.7 against per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.7 Atletico Grau, about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 47% over 2.5, 50% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: UCV Moquegua 65% · draw 22% · Atletico Grau 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: UCV Moquegua or draw (87%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: no (50%) at 1.86.
  • Value spot: UCV Moquegua to win at 1.74 – 65% for us, 57% by the bookmaker.

Our pick

Our call: Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Most likely score in our grid: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

UCV Moquegua65%fair 1.54 · @1.74
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.52
Atletico Grau13%fair 7.66 · @4.40
2.46Expected goals
1.80UCV Moquegua xG
0.66Atletico Grau xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.7 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCV Moquegua to win65%1.541.74 ▲
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw87%1.151.16
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%2.001.86
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.81
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.26
Half-time resultUCV Moquegua ahead at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCV Moquegua / FT UCV Moquegua41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%6.48–

Recent results

UCV Moquegua – last 6

DDLLWL
9 Nov@ Universitario2–2D
1 Novvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0D
28 Oct@ ADT0–2L
25 Octvs Alianza Lima0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Cajamarca1–0W
8 Octvs Cienciano0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Atletico Grau – last 6

WLLDLD
6 Novvs Cusco3–0W
1 Novvs Universitario1–3L
29 Oct@ Cienciano0–3L
23 Octvs ADT1–1D
18 Oct@ Alianza Lima1–3L
8 Octvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Atletico Grau v UCV Moquegua1–0
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

League hub
Alianza Atletico FBC Melgar Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.2031%X3.4020%22.0549% O1.577%@1.22
Alianza Lima FC Cajamarca Tip: Both teams to score 11.1771%X6.5018%213.0011% GG55%@2.25
UTC Cajamarca Club Deportivo Los Chankas Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.1645%X3.1222%23.3033% O1.573%@1.27
Comerciantes Unidos Sport Boys Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.8660%X3.5620%23.7420% O1.575%@1.21
Cusco ADT Tip: Cusco to win 11.5065%X3.9818%25.9517% 165%@1.50
Juan Pablo II College Deportivo Garcilaso Tip: Both teams to score 12.4438%X3.3820%22.6242% GG63%@1.55
Sport Huancayo Universitario Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.2039%X3.2521%23.0039% O1.576%@1.25
Sporting Cristal Cienciano Tip: Both teams to score 11.4264%X4.3318%26.5019% GG63%@1.67

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 13%.

How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.