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Segunda División RFEF Group 5 Kick-off

Conquense v Guadalajara prediction

ConquenseDLWDW
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG2.03 – 1.16
GuadalajaraDWDLW
Conquense58%@1.74Draw21%@3.58Guadalajara21%@3.78
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:11 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
79%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strongFair 1.26Odds 1.20
Rating9/10

Picks by market

ResultConquense to win58% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Conquense vs Guadalajara – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Conquense v Guadalajara is one of the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (17:00 WAT). Going in, Conquense are 4th with 18 points and Guadalajara 9th with 13 – one inside the top four, the other in the upper half.

Form guide

Conquense over their last 5: DLWDW Most recently they shared the points with RSD Alcalá 2–2 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 4. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.

Guadalajara over their last 5: DWDLW Most recently they shared the points with Navalcarnero 2–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Averaging 2.2 goals a match – the front line is in form.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Conquense 2.0 – 1.2 Guadalajara in expected goals, roughly 3.2 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Conquense 58%, draw 21%, Guadalajara 21%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 60% at 1.66.

Verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (79% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Conquense58%fair 1.73 · @1.74
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.58
Guadalajara21%fair 4.71 · @3.78
3.19Expected goals
2.03Conquense xG
1.16Guadalajara xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Conquense 2.0 – 1.2 Guadalajara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConquense to win58%1.731.74
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.661.66
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.581.36
Half-time resultConquense ahead at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Conquense / FT Conquense37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.16–

Recent results

Conquense – last 6

DLWDWL
1 Novvs RSD Alcalá2–2D
29 Octvs Castellón0–3L
25 Oct@ Real Madrid III2–0W
18 Octvs Atlético Paso2–2D
11 Octvs Albacete II4–0W
4 Oct@ A Madrid III2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Guadalajara – last 6

DWDLWD
8 Novvs Navalcarnero2–2D
1 Nov@ Calvo Sotelo2–1W
25 Octvs Real Valladolid II4–4D
18 Oct@ Atlético Tordesillas0–3L
11 Octvs Getafe II4–1W
7 Oct@ Real Madrid III1–1D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Guadalajara.

Conquense vs Guadalajara head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
RSD Alcalá A Madrid III Tip: RSD Alcalá to win 11.7963%X3.6014%23.5423% 163%@1.79
SS Reyes Real Madrid III Tip: SS Reyes to win 11.5764%X3.2021%25.9015% 164%@1.57
Real Valladolid II Numancia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.8132%X3.2221%22.2147% O1.576%@1.22
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Paso Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.9746%X3.2820%23.2833% O1.573%@1.28
Navalcarnero Getafe II Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.0048%X3.3520%23.1232% O1.576%@1.22
Gimnástica Segoviana Real Ávila Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.0249%X3.4220%23.0231% U3.568%@1.35
Calvo Sotelo CF Talavera Tip: Under 3.5 goals 13.8522%X3.4819%21.7558% U3.573%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Conquense vs Guadalajara?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance, priced at 1.20.

Who will win Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Conquense win 58% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Guadalajara 21%.

How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Around 3.2 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Our correct-score lean is Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.2.

When is Conquense vs Guadalajara?

Conquense vs Guadalajara (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.