Real Valladolid II v Numancia prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG1.24 – 1.57
Real Valladolid II32%@2.81Draw21%@3.22Numancia47%@2.21
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:45 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.22
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultNumancia to win47% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 15 November: Real Valladolid II host Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5, kick-off 12:00 (WAT). Going in, Real Valladolid II are 6th with 17 points and Numancia 1st with 19 – one in the upper half, the other leading the way. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Real Valladolid II over their last 5: LWDWD Most recently they were beaten by Real Madrid III 0–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 2.3 goals a match – the front line is in form.

Numancia over their last 5: WWDLD Most recently they got past Calvo Sotelo 6–0 at home. 2.3 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Real Valladolid II 1.2 – 1.6 Numancia in expected goals, roughly 2.8 combined. A middling goal outlook: 52% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Real Valladolid II 32%, draw 21%, Numancia 47%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 59% at 1.63.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Valladolid II32%fair 3.13 · @2.81
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.22
Numancia47%fair 2.14 · @2.21
2.81Expected goals
1.24Real Valladolid II xG
1.57Numancia xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.2 – 1.6 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win47%2.142.21
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.701.63
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.31
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.87–

Recent results

Real Valladolid II – last 6

LWDWDW
7 Nov@ Real Madrid III0–3L
1 Novvs Getafe II4–3W
25 Oct@ Guadalajara4–4D
18 Octvs Real Ávila2–1W
11 Oct@ Gimnástica Segoviana1–1D
4 Octvs Calvo Sotelo3–0W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Numancia – last 6

WWDLDD
8 Novvs Calvo Sotelo6–0W
1 Nov@ Atlético Tordesillas2–1W
29 Octvs Oviedo3–3D
24 Octvs Navalcarnero2–3L
18 Octvs CF Talavera0–0D
11 Oct@ Real Ávila1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Numancia.

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Real Valladolid II win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Numancia 47%.

How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 52% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Our correct-score lean is Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.8.

When is Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.