Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 17:00 WAT on Sunday 15 November: Calvo Sotelo take on CF Talavera in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. The standings: Calvo Sotelo sit 18th on 6 points after 10 matches (in the drop zone), CF Talavera 8th on 15 (in the upper half).
Form guide
Calvo Sotelo over their last 5: LLDLD Most recently they were beaten by Numancia 0–6 on the road. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
CF Talavera over their last 5: LWDWW Most recently they were beaten by A Madrid III 0–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.7 per match.
On points per game, CF Talavera arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.3.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Calvo Sotelo 0.9 – 1.7 CF Talavera in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 48% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Calvo Sotelo 22%, draw 19%, CF Talavera 58%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 1.75.
Verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.28). Correct-score lean: Calvo Sotelo 0–1 CF Talavera. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

















