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UEFA Nations League Kick-off Gürsel Aksel Stadium

Türkiye v Belgium prediction

TürkiyeLLLLW
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG1.10 – 2.03
BelgiumLWLWL
Türkiye21%@3.90Draw18%@4.10Belgium60%@1.80
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:12 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
60%chance
90Predict pick

Belgium to win

GoodFair 1.66Odds 1.80
Rating5/10

Picks by market

ResultBelgium to win60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%

Türkiye vs Belgium – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

UEFA Nations League action on Thursday 12 November sees Belgium travel to face Türkiye at Gürsel Aksel Stadium – the whistle goes at 18:00 WAT. Going in, Türkiye are 4th with 0 points and Belgium 3rd with 6.

Form guide

Türkiye over their last 5: LLLLW Most recently they were beaten by Italy 1–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 3 defeats in 4. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Belgium over their last 5: LWLWL Most recently they were beaten by France 1–4 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 2 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.3 per match.

On points per game, Belgium arrive in better shape – 1.5 against 0.5.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (2 Oct 2026): Belgium 3–0 Türkiye.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Türkiye 1.1 – 2.0 Belgium in expected goals, roughly 3.1 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Türkiye 21%, draw 18%, Belgium 60%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 62% at 1.50.

Verdict

We are going with Belgium to win (60% chance, priced 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.66, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Türkiye 1–2 Belgium. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Türkiye21%fair 4.66 · @3.90
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.10
Belgium60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
3.13Expected goals
1.10Türkiye xG
2.03Belgium xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Türkiye 1.1 – 2.0 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgium to win60%1.661.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win82%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.631.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.681.62
Half-time resultBelgium ahead at half-time44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgium / FT Belgium37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.10–

Recent results

Türkiye – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Oct@ Italy1–3L
2 Oct@ Belgium0–3L
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Belgium – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Oct@ France1–4L
2 Octvs Türkiye3–0W
28 Sepvs France0–1L
25 Sep@ Italy2–0W
10 Jul@ Spain1–2L
7 Jul@ USA4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Belgium v Türkiye3–0
Türkiye vs Belgium head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France4310+510
2Italy4211+37
3Belgium4202+16
4Türkiye4004-90

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Armenia Cyprus Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.3541%X3.2522%23.1037% U3.576%@1.28
Italy France Tip: France or draw 13.9012%X3.7024%21.9164% X288%@1.25
Czechia Spain Tip: Over 2.5 goals 113.009%X8.0019%21.1872% O2.566%@1.44
England Croatia Tip: Over 2.5 goals 11.2269%X7.0021%211.0010% O2.569%@1.44
Albania Finland Tip: Albania or draw 11.9557%X3.2023%24.2021% 1X79%@1.22
San Marino Belarus Tip: Over 1.5 goals 113.008%X8.5015%21.1477% O1.579%@1.20
Montenegro Latvia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2867%X5.5021%29.5012% O1.574%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Türkiye vs Belgium?

90Predict goes with Belgium to win – a 60% chance, priced at 1.80.

Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?

Türkiye win 21% of the time on our model, the draw 18%, Belgium 60%.

How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs Belgium?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our correct-score lean is Türkiye 1–2 Belgium – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Türkiye vs Belgium?

Türkiye vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gürsel Aksel Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.