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UEFA Nations League Kick-off San Marino Stadium

San Marino v Belarus prediction

San MarinoLLLLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG0.60 – 2.38
BelarusWWDLD
San Marino8%@13.00Draw15%@8.50Belarus77%@1.14
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:15 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
79%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strongFair 1.26Odds 1.20
Rating9/10

Picks by market

ResultBelarus to win77% · @1.14
Double chanceBelarus or draw92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–311%

San Marino vs Belarus – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

UEFA Nations League action on Thursday 12 November sees Belarus travel to face San Marino at San Marino Stadium – the whistle goes at 20:45 WAT. The standings: San Marino sit 4th on 0 points after 4 matches, Belarus 2nd on 7.

Form guide

San Marino over their last 5: LLLLL Most recently they were beaten by Albania 1–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Just 0.5 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Belarus over their last 5: WWDLD Most recently they got past Finland 1–0 at home. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Belarus arrive in better shape – 1.8 against 0.0.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (3 Oct 2026): Belarus 4–0 San Marino.

Goal forecast

Our model projects San Marino 0.6 – 2.4 Belarus in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 57% and both teams scoring at 46%. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): San Marino 8%, draw 15%, Belarus 77%.
  • Both teams to score: no – 54% at 1.33.

Verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (79% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: San Marino 0–2 Belarus. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Marino8%fair 12.95 · @13.00
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @8.50
Belarus77%fair 1.29 · @1.14
2.99Expected goals
0.60San Marino xG
2.38Belarus xG
46%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–112%
0–311%
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%

From our goals model: San Marino 0.6 – 2.4 Belarus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelarus to win77%1.291.14
Double chanceBelarus or draw92%1.081.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.851.33
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.44
Half-time resultBelarus ahead at half-time56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belarus / FT Belarus53%1.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–311%8.76–

Recent results

San Marino – last 6

LLLLLL
6 Oct@ Albania1–2L
3 Oct@ Belarus0–4L
29 Sepvs Albania0–3L
26 Sepvs Finland0–7L
9 Jun@ Azerbaijan1–2L
5 Junvs Bangladesh1–2L
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Belarus – last 6

WWDLDW
6 Octvs Finland1–0W
3 Octvs San Marino4–0W
29 Sep@ Finland0–0D
26 Sep@ Albania0–2L
9 Junvs Burkina Faso2–2D
5 Junvs Syria4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Belarus v San Marino4–0
San Marino vs Belarus head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albania4301+59
2Belarus4211+37
3Finland4211+77
4San Marino4004-150

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Türkiye Belgium Tip: Belgium to win 13.9021%X4.1018%21.8060% 260%@1.80
Armenia Cyprus Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.3541%X3.2522%23.1037% U3.576%@1.28
Italy France Tip: France or draw 13.7513%X3.7024%21.9563% X287%@1.22
Czechia Spain Tip: Over 2.5 goals 113.009%X8.0019%21.1872% O2.566%@1.44
England Croatia Tip: Over 2.5 goals 11.2269%X7.0021%211.0010% O2.569%@1.44
Albania Finland Tip: Albania or draw 11.9557%X3.3022%24.1021% 1X79%@1.22
Montenegro Latvia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2867%X5.5021%29.5012% O1.575%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Marino vs Belarus?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance, priced at 1.20.

Who will win San Marino vs Belarus?

San Marino win 8% of the time on our model, the draw 15%, Belarus 77%.

How many goals will there be in San Marino vs Belarus?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 57% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Belarus?

Our correct-score lean is San Marino 0–2 Belarus – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is San Marino vs Belarus?

San Marino vs Belarus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.