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UEFA Nations League Kick-off Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Armenia v Cyprus prediction

ArmeniaDLLWD
Thu 12 Nov 2026 xG1.23 – 1.13
CyprusWWDLW
Armenia41%@2.35Draw22%@3.25Cyprus37%@3.10
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:46 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.28
Rating8/10
Value

Cyprus to win @ 3.10our chance 37% vs 32% in the price · edge +14%

Picks by market

ResultArmenia to win41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%

Armenia vs Cyprus – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 18:00 WAT on Thursday 12 November: Armenia take on Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League, with Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium hosting. The standings: Armenia sit 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches, Cyprus 2nd on 7. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Armenia over their last 5: DLLWD Most recently they shared the points with Montenegro 0–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 4. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.2 per match.

Cyprus over their last 5: WWDLW Most recently they got past Latvia 2–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 4. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Cyprus arrive in better shape – 1.8 against 1.0.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (2 Oct 2026): Cyprus 2–0 Armenia.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 44% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Armenia 41%, draw 22%, Cyprus 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Cyprus to win at 3.10 – we make it 37%, the odds imply 32%.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.28). Correct-score lean: Armenia 1–1 Cyprus. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Armenia41%fair 2.41 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Cyprus37%fair 2.72 · @3.10
2.36Expected goals
1.23Armenia xG
1.13Cyprus xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArmenia to win41%2.412.35
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.791.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Armenia / FT Armenia22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.41–

Recent results

Armenia – last 6

DLLWDD
5 Oct@ Montenegro0–0D
2 Oct@ Cyprus0–2L
28 Sepvs Montenegro2–3L
25 Sepvs Latvia2–0W
9 Junvs Moldova1–1D
6 Junvs Kazakhstan1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cyprus – last 6

WWDLWD
5 Octvs Latvia2–1W
2 Octvs Armenia2–0W
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
4 Jun@ Slovenia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Cyprus v Armenia2–0
Armenia vs Cyprus head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro4310+310
2Cyprus4211+27
3Armenia4112-14
4Latvia4013-41

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Türkiye Belgium Tip: Belgium to win 13.9021%X4.1018%21.8060% 260%@1.80
Italy France Tip: France or draw 13.7513%X3.7024%21.9563% X287%@1.22
Czechia Spain Tip: Over 2.5 goals 113.009%X8.0019%21.1872% O2.566%@1.44
England Croatia Tip: Over 2.5 goals 11.2269%X7.0021%211.0010% O2.569%@1.44
Albania Finland Tip: Albania or draw 11.9557%X3.3022%24.1021% 1X79%@1.22
San Marino Belarus Tip: Over 1.5 goals 113.008%X8.5015%21.1477% O1.579%@1.20
Montenegro Latvia Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.2867%X5.5021%29.5012% O1.575%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Armenia vs Cyprus?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.28.

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia win 41% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Cyprus 37%.

How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Cyprus?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 44% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Our correct-score lean is Armenia 1–1 Cyprus – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.