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For experienced punters

Value bets tomorrow

Prices that look too long: our numbers give these outcomes a clearly better chance than the bookmaker does. Expect a lower hit rate and bigger odds – this is a long-run approach with small stakes.

SpainCopa Del Rey2›

Tarancón Levante Tip: Both teams to score 124.006%X9.8019%21.0875% GG57%@2.22
Navalcarnero Real Betis Tip: Both teams to score 113.0011%X8.0020%21.1569% GG56%@2.10

AfricaAfrica Cup Of Nations Qualification3›

Madagascar Guinea-Bissau Tip: Guinea-Bissau to win 13.1125%X3.0623%22.3252% 252%@2.32
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe Tip: Zimbabwe to win 12.4141%X3.0423%22.9836% 236%@2.98
Benin Central African Republic Tip: Both teams to score 11.5661%X3.6520%26.0919% GG50%@2.28

EuropeUEFA Nations League5›

Armenia Cyprus Tip: Cyprus to win 12.3042%X3.2522%23.2536% 236%@3.25
Türkiye Belgium Tip: Belgium to win 13.9021%X4.1018%21.8060% 260%@1.80
Italy France Tip: France to win 14.3311%X4.0023%21.7565% 265%@1.75
Albania Finland Tip: Both teams to score 11.9057%X3.4022%24.3321% GG53%@2.10
Czechia Spain Tip: Both teams to score 113.009%X8.0019%21.1872% GG54%@2.00

ColombiaPrimera B1›

Real Cundinamarca Real Cartagena Tip: Real Cartagena to win 12.4436%X2.9723%22.6942% 242%@2.69

MexicoLiga De Expansión MX1›

Piratas CA La Paz Tip: Piratas to win 11.8161%X3.7522%23.7617% 161%@1.81

MexicoLiga MX Femenil1›

América W Toluca W Tip: Both teams to score 11.1468%X8.5017%211.0015% GG64%@1.73

WorldFriendlies6›

New Zealand India Tip: Both teams to score 11.2274%X5.2519%29.507% GG53%@2.10
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 116.258%X6.3016%21.1176% U3.567%@1.60
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 Tip: Draw 12.8818%X3.4655%22.0627% X55%@3.46
Uzbekistan Russia Tip: Both teams to score 13.7028%X3.3421%21.9851% GG56%@1.92
France U20 Denmark U20 Tip: Draw 11.4538%X3.9038%26.0025% X38%@3.90
Lithuania Suriname Tip: Draw 12.5530%X3.1039%22.4530% X39%@3.10

South-KoreaWK League1›

Hwacheon KSPO W Gyeongju W Tip: Gyeongju W to win 11.7253%X3.5216%23.9031% 231%@3.90

EgyptSecond League3›

Masar Tersana Tip: Tersana to win 12.0842%X2.8123%23.5034% 234%@3.50
Dayrout Proxy Tip: Proxy to win 14.1015%X2.9621%21.8564% 264%@1.85
El Entag EL Harby Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Tip: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win 12.4039%X2.8223%22.8538% 238%@2.85

EuropeUEFA U21 Championship Qualification1›

Iceland U21 Greece U21 Tip: Greece U21 to win 12.6034%X3.4020%22.3546% 246%@2.35

ArgentinaReserve League4›

Colón Res. Central Córdoba SdE Res. Tip: Central Córdoba SdE Res. to win 11.8050%X3.2217%23.9033% 233%@3.90
Rosario Central Res. River Plate Res. Tip: River Plate Res. to win 12.5236%X3.0617%22.5147% 247%@2.51
Godoy Cruz Res. Gimnasia La Plata Res. Tip: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win 12.0149%X3.1517%23.2534% 234%@3.25
Barracas Central Res. Argentinos Juniors Res. Tip: Argentinos Juniors Res. to win 12.4943%X2.8418%22.7140% 240%@2.71

North & Central AmericaCONCACAF Nations League3›

Cayman Islands Guyana Tip: Both teams to score 145.0013%X15.0015%21.0471% GG55%@2.83
Barbados Guadeloupe Tip: Barbados to win 13.1039%X3.5620%22.1041% 139%@3.10
Bonaire Cuba Tip: Both teams to score 126.0011%X10.5017%21.0572% GG54%@2.33

UruguaySegunda División2›

Atenas Oriental Tip: Atenas to win 12.5445%X2.9218%22.5937% 145%@2.54
Plaza Colonia Rentistas Tip: Rentistas to win 12.5640%X2.9717%22.5343% 243%@2.53

ColombiaPrimera A4›

Deportivo Pereira America de Cali Tip: America de Cali to win 14.7514%X3.6019%21.7567% 267%@1.75
Millonarios Alianza Valledupar Tip: Both teams to score 11.2870%X5.2519%211.0011% GG50%@2.20
Cucuta Jaguares Tip: Cucuta to win 11.6467%X3.7622%24.7511% 167%@1.64
Deportivo Cali Deportes Tolima Tip: Deportes Tolima to win 12.2045%X3.1022%23.3033% 233%@3.30

GuatemalaLiga Nacional1›

Aurora Mixco Tip: Aurora to win 11.8962%X3.3619%23.3820% 162%@1.89

Tomorrow's value bets at a glance

38 value bets at an average price of 2.53, with an average edge of 18% over the bookmaker. The biggest: Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 – Draw at 3.46, where we rate the chance at 55% against the 29% the price implies. 3 are draws, the outcome bookmakers most often price too long.

At odds of 2.53 you need to win about 40% of bets just to break even. That is why value betting is judged over hundreds of bets, not one day.

Staking value bets

  • Keep each stake small and the same – around 1–2% of your betting bank.
  • Value bets work best as singles; stacking them in one slip multiplies the risk.
  • Check the price before you bet: if it has dropped below our fair odds, the value has gone.
  • Expect losing runs. A 35% hit rate means losing five in a row happens regularly.

What makes a value spot

Odds are chances in disguise: 2.50 means the bookmaker thinks roughly 40% (100 ÷ 2.50), with their margin on top. If our ratings put the same outcome at 46% or higher, the price is too generous – and backing generous prices consistently is how value betting pays over time.

Value bets are listed separately from our main predictions because they lose more often. The results record tracks both, so you can see how each performs.

Frequently asked questions

What makes a value bet?

Our chance must be at least 6% higher than the chance implied by the bookmaker's odds (chance × odds ≥ 1.06), at odds between 1.60 and 4.50.

Will value bets win more often?

No – they win less often than our main picks, because the prices are bigger. The aim is a profit over many bets, not a win every time. Stake small and stay consistent.

Why do draws appear here?

Draws are often under-priced by bookmakers in close games. When our numbers rate a draw clearly higher than its price, it shows up as value.